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Bull vs. Bear Market: What's the Difference?

Originally published October 9, 2020 · Refreshed March 31, 2024

A bull market is a period of rising stock prices, low unemployment, and general economic growth; a bear market is the opposite — a sustained drop in stock prices of roughly 20% or more, often accompanied by economic weakness or recession. Understanding what defines each condition — and building a strategy for both before you actually need it — is one of the most useful things you can do as a long-term investor.

The stock market’s constant ups and downs can make investing feel more like a gamble than a plan, especially for newer investors. But the more clearly you understand what these market conditions mean and how they typically behave, the more confidently you can manage your money through both of them.

What defines a bull market

A bull market describes favorable conditions: stock prices are generally rising, unemployment is low, and the broader economy is growing. As prices continue climbing, there tend to be more buyers than sellers, since more investors want to participate in the gains. Bull markets are generally the environment most investors hope to be in, since portfolio values tend to grow steadily during these periods.

What defines a bear market

A bear market is a sustained decline of roughly 20% or more from recent highs, typically measured over at least a couple of months. A smaller decline — in the 10% to 19% range — is usually called a “correction” rather than a bear market. Bear markets are often, though not always, accompanied by a recession, a period when the broader economy contracts and unemployment tends to rise.

It’s worth separating the emotional experience of a bear market from the financial reality: a decline in your portfolio’s value only becomes a permanent loss if you sell during the downturn. For long-term investors who stay invested, historical bear markets have eventually been followed by recoveries, though the length of any individual downturn or recovery can vary significantly.

A long-term strategy works in both conditions

If your goal is building wealth over decades rather than timing short-term moves, the same core strategy generally applies whether the market is currently in bull or bear territory: stay invested according to your personal risk tolerance and time horizon, rather than trying to predict which direction the market will move next. Consistently investing over time, regardless of current conditions, removes the pressure of trying to perfectly time entries and exits — a strategy that even professional investors struggle to execute consistently.

How to think about a bull market

During a bull market, it’s tempting to feel like nothing can go wrong, but temporary pullbacks still happen even in a broader uptrend — they’re usually smaller and shorter-lived than what you’d see in a bear market. The main risk during a strong bull market isn’t the market itself; it’s overconfidence leading to riskier bets than your actual risk tolerance supports.

Rather than chasing specific stocks or trying to time short-term peaks, the more reliable approach is staying disciplined about your existing investment strategy and letting a diversified, broad-based approach participate in the overall growth.

How to think about a bear market

Bear markets test discipline in the opposite direction — the temptation is to sell everything to avoid further losses, which locks in the decline instead of riding it out. A few practical habits help investors get through bear markets without making costly, permanently regrettable decisions: revisit your overall risk tolerance and make sure your portfolio’s mix still matches it, avoid making large, emotional changes based on short-term price movements, and remember that a bear market’s paper losses only become real losses if you sell.

Some investors use a bear market as an opportunity to invest more, on the theory that lower prices mean future purchases are effectively “on sale” — but this only makes sense within your existing risk tolerance and financial plan, not as a way to take on more risk than you’re otherwise comfortable with.

No one can predict how long either will last

Bull and bear markets vary enormously in length — some bull markets have run for the better part of a decade, while others last only months; bear markets show similarly wide variation. This unpredictability is exactly why a strategy built around your personal time horizon and risk tolerance, rather than market timing, tends to hold up better than trying to guess when a given cycle will end.

Despite the sharp ups and downs along the way, broad stock market indices have historically trended upward over long time horizons, even after accounting for the largest downturns. That doesn’t guarantee any specific future outcome, but it’s the core reason long-term, diversified investing remains a widely used strategy through both bull and bear conditions.

Preparing your portfolio before you need to

The most effective time to prepare for a bear market is before one starts, not after it’s already underway. Building a diversified portfolio, setting an asset allocation that matches your actual risk tolerance, and having a plan you can stick to in either condition all matter more than trying to react correctly in the moment.

Market conditions will keep shifting between bull and bear over the course of any long-term investing timeline — that’s simply the normal texture of investing, not a sign that something has gone wrong. A portfolio and a plan built with that reality in mind, rather than an expectation of one direction forever, is what actually holds up through both.